February 2022 Monthly Options Analysis

Friday February 11th 2:33 PM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

157

Total
trades

133

Winning
trades

85%

Winning
history

89%

Average
return

Analysis

After an admittedly brutal January it is reassuring to see the overwhelmingly positive data from this month's analysis. February tracks the strategy as a whole with almost perfect parity. This is particularly evident in the critical risk v. reward chart below, where you will see a near overlap between February's risk/reward and the average for all months. All Key Performance Indicators are at or slightly above par and the average return is healthily above the upper end of our 50% target.

The only area of minor concern would be the successful picks table where you can see we do not currently trade anything that has a 100% winning history. Of course, this is going to become a more commonly recurring theme as we are approaching 20 years of recorded data of trade data.

As a curious aside, February would absolutely be tracking even better were it not for an abysmal 2009... food for thought.

Risk vs Reward

Successful Picks

StockPlaysWins
AAPL12975%67%
AMZN111091%110%
AVGO66100%86%
DIA181583%110%
GOOG10990%79%
IBM11982%85%
QQQ171588%89%
WYNN8675%99%
YHOO55100%42%

Trade Recommendations

In keeping with last month, a diverse allocation strategy is probably the best approach. AMZN and GOOG appear to be the best choices nearly edging out the Q's. That obviously makes for a tech only allocation, but DIA has nearly a 10% lower winning history and SPY didn't even make the list.

Target Profit Recommendations

Should be able to achieve any return in our standard range based on historical performance.

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

78%

Time-tested
winning history

Over 20 years of trade history with better than 7 out of 10 winning options trades.

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