Post-Trade Analysis Monday 5/20 Our post-trade analysis for last week can be summed up in one word, “tough”. This was a month were it was very crucial to pay attention to our Commentary to limit your exposure to the market. By limiting our positions to half size we were able to withstand the 600 point [...]
Post-Trade Analysis Monday 4/22 This was, by all accounts a tough month for our monthly trades. We kicked the trades off Friday with the market near an all-time high and 4 trading days the following week. Earnings reports started the trading cycle with Goldman Sachs first out of the gate on Monday giving us a [...]
Post-Trade Analysis Monday 3/18 What a fantastic week for our monthly trades. Looking back to last Friday 3/8 when I was looking over the markets, they looked bleak, having been down 5 days in a row from a double top. Market commentators and chart masters were calling for the end of the bull market Friday [...]
Post Analysis Monday 2/18 We begin with the Commentary from Friday, where we stated the markets would go higher early in the week giving us a nice rally which is precisely what we had through Wednesday 2/13. Thursday the futures again looked strong but quickly reversed on the poor retail sales numbers that came out [...]
Monday 1/21 - Post Analysis Early weakness in the market gave those that entered a half size position Friday and added the other half Monday did very well. The rally really started to catch hold Wednesday through Friday on China tariff talk and setting a date for the second N. Korea summit. January is known [...]
At first glance this analysis looked to be fairly straight forward as the hard data reveal December to slightly under perform vs. the previous month, however, the risk vs. reward chart paints an entirely different story. December's historical data show slightly fewer trades, a marginally lower winning history, and basically the same average return as [...]
Much like October, November has been a relatively successful month throughout the history of the monthly options trading strategy. In fact, the two months are quite similar with respect to our KPIs. Overall trades, winners, and winning history are basically the same as last October. The only notable difference is the lower average return for [...]
Historically October has been a moderately successful month often overshadowed by the exceptional statistical data from September. Observe the risk vs. reward for given returns plots October below the overall performance for monthly strategy. A quick review of the performance shows mostly winning returns with some significant losses in 2014. Overall data is positive with [...]
September 2018 is shaping up to be an exciting cycle for our monthly strategy supported by excellent data. Of first note, is a significant increase in data points vs. the previous month (151 vs 92) which indicates this is a month we have traded frequently with several alerts each month. Two clearly positive data points [...]
As with our previous month, August has consistently proven to be a strong month for our trading strategy. As you can clearly see with the risk vs. reward chart, this month has produced results well above the strategy as a whole. The trade data tells the exact same story with a winning history of 93% [...]
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