March 2021 Monthly Options Analysis

Friday March 12th 12:17 PM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

150

Total
trades

109

Winning
trades

73%

Winning
history

90%

Average
return

Analysis

March is the last of our troubling months for the Monthly Options strategy for the year. You'll immediately note that the statistics for past trades this month mirror those of February, with one key exception. The winning history for March as been 10% lower than the month before, and indeed 10% lower than the strategy overall. Unfortunately, in months past we have tried put options for the strategy in March. This proved helpful one year but burned us terribly two other times. This means our data is skewed a bit by the losses that would have been gains, potentially making March on par with February and the strategy as a whole.

That is not say that March would have otherwise been a stellar month. A review of the past trades shows a few mixed years, even accounting for our ill timed puts. This all manifests in what is definitely the oddest risk v. reward chart for all months compared to the strategy overall. You'll see for past trades in March, the reward for risk is well below the overall strategy until about 45%, where it then mirrors the statistics for the overall strategy.

Risk vs Reward

Successful Picks

StockPlaysWins
AAPL131185%134%
AMZN10880%86%
DIA191368%65%
GOOG8675%81%
IBM11982%111%
QQQ171059%52%
SPY10660%39%
WYNN8675%170%

Trade Recommendations

This will be a challenging month, but likely the last of the year. On one hand we are not sitting on top of or near all time highs as we have in the past couple of months. On the other hand March has proven a bit more challenging than other months out of the year. Set your expectations low and trade accordingly.

Target Profit Recommendations

Aim for the lower end of our target range.

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

77%

Time-tested
winning history

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

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