December 2020 Monthly Options Analysis Friday December 11th 12:51 PM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis Start Trading Key Stats 138 Total trades 114 Winning trades 83% Winning history 74% Average return Analysis Past Monthly Options trades for December show a slight improvement when compared to the previous month as demonstrated by all of the key performance indicators. One thing to note is a lower number of recorded trades vs the previous month. December has been quite good in previous years and has maintained a winning history that is perfectly inline with the strategy as a whole. We recorded major losses in 2002, 2011 and had a mixed bag in 2007. Additionally, the average return is 24% above the high end for our target profit range. The risk v. reward chart below shows a rather interesting trend in the profit and winning history. Note that past Decembers have outperformed the strategy as a whole at 30% sought return, but then underperforms at higher returns. This could mean December is a "take the money and run" kind of month. Risk vs Reward Successful Picks StockPlaysWinsWin HistWinning HistoryAvg %Average ReturnAAPL9889%62%AMZN141393%72%AVGO6467%42%DIA161381%95%GOOG7686%53%IBM10880%43%QQQ171588%75%SPY5480%68%YHOO55100%81% Trade Recommendations Trade conservatively, and perhaps more so than normal. December seems to be a lukewarm month at best. There is nothing particularly outstanding about our trade history here for the better or worse. That puts this month square in the 8 out of 10 trades are winners modality, just remember, that statistic usually plays out as entirely winning months vs entirely losing, the mixed bag from 2007 is an extremely rare case for any month. Target Profit Recommendations The data seems to indicate that past months are best pursued in this manner with a focus on the lower end of our target profit range.