October 2021 Monthly Options Analysis

Friday October 8th 9:00 AM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

172

Total
trades

139

Winning
trades

81%

Winning
history

90%

Average
return

Analysis

Our analysis of past Monthly Options trades for October indicates the month has underperformed the strategy as a whole. This mirrors overall market sentiment with October typically being a weak month for the market. In spite of this, the strategy has still maintained 8 out of 10 winners since 2002 and provides an average return of 90%. A review of past trades show mostly losing trades in 2014 and 2018, but otherwise primarily winning trades.

Risk vs Reward

Successful Picks

StockPlaysWins
AAPL131292%97%
AMZN13862%68%
AVGO99100%89%
BIDU5360%50%
DIA171376%59%
GOOG121083%210%
IBM12975%66%
QQQ181583%85%
SPY8675%88%
WYNN10880%117%
YHOO5480%79%

Trade Recommendations

Based on the historical data, we would recommend trading very conservatively for this October. Both the DOW and NASDAQ are bouncing off testing recent lows and October is typically a week month for the market. On the plus side, we have seen winning months for our strategy, however, and we are not facing all time highs as we have for the most part of this year. That said, take whatever the market yields and move on to avoid unnecessary risk.

Target Profit Recommendations

Adjust focus on lower returns for October, 15% - 30%.

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

78%

Time-tested
winning history

Over 20 years of trade history with better than 7 out of 10 winning options trades.

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