January 2020 Monthly Options Strategy Analysis

Friday January 10th 10:28 AM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

133

Total
trades

98

Winning
trades

74%

Winning
history

62%

Average
return

Analysis

For January 2020 we have analyzed 133 options trades over the last 17 years. Our analysis show January as under performing for our monthly options strategy. Most notably, the winning history (wins / trades) is almost 10 percent lower than the average for the strategy as a whole. Additionally, the average return for our monthly options in January is well below the overall strategy at just 62%.

The risk vs. reward chart which tracks winning histories at desired rates of return mirrors the key statistics. January is well below each desired rate of return for the strategy as a whole.

The trade history for January reveals mostly modest winning trades with several losing trades occurring randomly throughout the recorded results. Only 2002 appears to have been mostly losing trades.

Target Profit Recommendation

Pursue much lower returns for January. We recommend  20% - 30% ROI. AAPL would be the only exception for those who are less risk averse.

Risk vs Reward

Successful Picks

StockPlaysWins
AAPL77100%116%
AMZN9667%70%
AVGO6467%89%
BIDU6583%86%
DIA151173%64%
IBM9778%73%
QQQ12975%47%
WYNN77100%142%
YHOO5360%17%

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

78%

Time-tested
winning history

Over 20 years of trade history with better than 7 out of 10 winning options trades.

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