November 2019 Monthly Options Strategy Analysis

Friday November 8th 9:30 AM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

151

Total
trades

120

Winning
trades

79%

Winning
history

72%

Average
return

Analysis

November practically mirrors the performance of October with statistically identical data. The only notable difference is a slightly lower average return (72% vs. 81%) for the month. A review of the trade history shows mostly positive returns throughout the years, however, in 2018 almost all of the trades were losing positions.

Thought it may seem counter-intuitive, statistically, the recent losses are a positive indicator. The strategy holds at approximately 80% winning history overall and previous November trades. In order for the averages to maintain consistency over time the strategy has to produce losing trades 1/5th of the time. One way to view last year's losers is that they were representative of that losing 1/5th of trades. In other words, the likelihood of back-to-back losing months are highly unlikely even in the context of year over year.

Target Profit Recommendation

Trade this month conservatively. Focus on exits on the lower end of our target range of 30% - 40% as soon as they are presented.

Risk vs Reward

Monthly Option trades in past years have absolutely under performed the strategy as a whole.

Successful Picks

StockPlaysWins
AAPL10770%101%
AMZN131077%90%
AVGO7686%103%
BIDU5240%53%
DIA171482%55%
GOOG6467%78%
IBM11982%81%
QQQ151493%81%
WYNN10990%124%
YHOO5480%68%

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

78%

Time-tested
winning history

Over 20 years of trade history with better than 7 out of 10 winning options trades.

FAST

Trade notifications

Free text message notifications and real time option trade alerts through Twitter (@optionsintel).

FREE

30 day trial
No committment

Global Autoshares
One Day Wonder Options

Our other service, One Day Wonder Options focuses on weekly option picks only. Get up to 3 weekly option plays every Friday. Make up to triple digit returns and mitigate risk with small allotments.

s2Member®