August Core Strategy Pre-trade Analysis

Friday August 12th 3:02 PM Posted in: Daily Blog

Historical Performance for August

Historical performance for August is quite positive.  The lifetime winning history for August makes it one of our best performing months coming in at an impressive 90.70%.  Core plays in August also produce an impressive 104.48% average yield.

August lifetime winning history at common returns:

Return Winning History
10% 88.37%
20% 69.77%
30% 65.12%

Historically Successful August Picks

Among our core picks, August has not produced plays with any significant frequency.  Many common picks are quite successful with winning histories in the 90%-100% range, however, they have not been traded consistently enough to warrant a recommendation.

Statistical Expectations for August

Statistically, August is a strong month for the Core Options Trading Strategy.  This strength is general, perhaps pointing to an upside bias to the market.  No individual stocks can be recommended based on the infrequency that they have been traded.

It should be noted that the winning history for the month drops off significantly when moving from 10% return to 20% (note the first table of data).  Statistically, this would make a strong case to look for lower returns on any recommendations from Dave.

These recommendations are independent of Dave's monthly core picks and are intended to provide traders with a framework to build upon.


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