September 2022 Monthly Options Trade Analysis

Statistical Analysis

While September falls a bit short of August, it has still been an incredibly impressive month for our strategy. In an analysis of 176 trades spanning back to 2002, we have some impressive results including a higher than overall average winning history and an impressive 127% average return. The average return showing the average of all returns in past Septembers as 27 points higher than the strategy as a whole.

The risk v. reward charge illustrates how past Septembers have outperformed the Monthly Options strategy as a whole, with a consistent and sizeable (10%) gap between returns from the overall strategy and returns captured in the month of September. This means that on average any sought return in September is 1 in 10 times more likely to happen. It doesn't seem like much, but that is simply because the strategy as a whole performs so well... it just happens to have performed a bit better in past Septembers.

Risk vs Reward

Successful Picks

IBM is the odd standout winner here, unusual as this is the only month for this particular underlying stock to be lucrative.

Trade Recommendations

Normal target range for profit expectations.