160
D :
H :
M DECEMBER ALERTS
Consistent Profitable Options
Menu
Menu
160
Total
trades
127
Winning
trades
79%
Winning
history
71%
Average
return
Much like last month, November's analysis indicates this month has underperformed the Monthly Options trading strategy as a whole. Our key performance indicators have the month slightly below our average winning history with a lower average return.
Our trade history shows a brutal year in 2018 with a few mixed years sprinkled in our nearly 20 years of data. The historically successful picks really drives the mixed history home with the best result for QQQ at 94% and others barely toping 80%.
Still, past Novembers have produced about 8 out of 10 winners and an average return 20% higher than the top end of our target range. These numbers are nothing to snuff at, just lower than what we are used to seeing from the highs in Q3.
| Stock | Plays | Wins | Winning History | Average Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 11 | 8 | 73% | 104% |
| AMZN | 13 | 10 | 77% | 90% |
| AVGO | 8 | 7 | 88% | 92% |
| BIDU | 5 | 2 | 40% | 53% |
| DIA | 18 | 15 | 83% | 58% |
| GOOG | 7 | 5 | 71% | 85% |
| IBM | 11 | 9 | 82% | 81% |
| QQQ | 17 | 16 | 94% | 74% |
| WYNN | 11 | 9 | 82% | 110% |
| YHOO | 5 | 4 | 80% | 68% |
With the mixed results of the past, the obvious play this month is to tread lightly and diversify picks vs. relying on one particular pick.
Adjust focus on lower returns for November, 15% - 30%.
78%
81%
20+
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