July 2021 Monthly Options Analysis

Friday July 9th 11:27 AM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

187

Total
trades

171

Winning
trades

91%

Winning
history

136%

Average
return

Analysis

There really is no beating around the bush here... Historically, July has consistently been one of, if not the best, month for our Monthly Options trading strategy. The key performance indicators all dwarf the strategy as a whole with more data points (trades), more wins, an almost unbelievable winning history, and an average return that is 2.3x higher than the absolute upper end of our target range.

A review of past trades shows heavy losses in 2011 as an island surrounded by a sea of green (winning trades). This is all driven home visually by the risk v. reward graph below. The gap in performance between our already impressive strategy overall and July is simply staggering with an almost 18% increased likelihood of hitting any target profit.

Interestingly, we do not have many 100% winning history stocks for July throughout the years, but that should be expected considering the overall high number of trades and the losses in 2011. Still, AAPL, GOOG, QQQ, and WYNN have all been absolute rockstars for July.

Risk vs Reward

Successful Picks

StockPlaysWins
AAPL151493%155%
AMZN161488%173%
AVGO99100%89%
BIDU7686%206%
DIA181689%109%
GOOG1111100%204%
IBM131292%165%
QQQ191895%138%
SPY99100%132%
WYNN111091%154%
YHOO55100%170%

Trade Recommendations

We don't have much headroom and as of publishing this analysis, we are pushing to new highs. This is NOT our favorite position to start with, but you often have to manage the hand you are dealt. The historical data points to July as an incredible month for our strategy. Far more often than not members have walked away from July with profits exceeding our target range. We do not really see a reason for that to end even if we have to fight for new highs next week.

Target Profit Recommendations

Risk averse? Use normal targets. Less risk averse? Use our historically successful picks AND your own sense of the market for the stocks of your choice to push for slightly higher gains. Don't get greedy, this isn't the lottery.

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

77%

Time-tested
winning history

Over 20 years of trade history with better than 7 out of 10 winning options trades.

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