November 2019 Monthly Options Strategy Analysis

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Key Stats

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151

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Total
trades

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120

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Winning
trades

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79^%

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Winning
history

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72^%

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Average
return

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Analysis

[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]November practically mirrors the performance of October with statistically identical data. The only notable difference is a slightly lower average return (72% vs. 81%) for the month. A review of the trade history shows mostly positive returns throughout the years, however, in 2018 almost all of the trades were losing positions.

Thought it may seem counter-intuitive, statistically, the recent losses are a positive indicator. The strategy holds at approximately 80% winning history overall and previous November trades. In order for the averages to maintain consistency over time the strategy has to produce losing trades 1/5th of the time. One way to view last year's losers is that they were representative of that losing 1/5th of trades. In other words, the likelihood of back-to-back losing months are highly unlikely even in the context of year over year.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]

Target Profit Recommendation

[/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]Trade this month conservatively. Focus on exits on the lower end of our target range of 30% - 40% as soon as they are presented.[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]

Risk vs Reward

[/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]Monthly Option trades in past years have absolutely under performed the strategy as a whole.[/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image="7049" img_size="full" alignment="center"][vc_column_text]

Successful Picks

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