October 2019 Monthly Options Strategy Analysis

Friday October 11th 1:19 PM Posted in: Monthly Options Analysis

Key Stats

156

Total
trades

123

Winning
trades

79%

Winning
history

81%

Average
return

Analysis

Our analysis shows October as an under performing month for our strategy. Data point to a slightly lower than average winning history and an average return 30 points above our target profit range. Our model of the risk v. reward also shows the month below the average for the strategy as a whole. A review of the trade history is mostly positive, but the month performed terribly in 2018. The mixed performance is further confirmed by the lack of consistent (100% winners) in the historically successful picks.

Target Profit Recommendation

Trade this month conservatively. Focus on exits on the lower end of our target range of 30% - 40% as soon as they are presented.

Risk vs Reward

Monthly Option trades in past years have absolutely under performed the strategy as a whole.

Successful Picks

Only BCRM (no longer traded) has a perfect winning history.

StockPlaysWins
AAPL121192%87%
AMZN11655%25%
BIDU5360%50%
BRCM66100%93%
DIA151173%60%
GOOG10880%188%
IBM11873%72%
QQQ161381%74%
SPY7571%64%
WYNN9778%126%
YHOO5480%79%

50%

Target Profit
Per option trade

Make up to a 50% return or better from our option trades by following our profit targets.

78%

Time-tested
winning history

Over 20 years of trade history with better than 7 out of 10 winning options trades.

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