Key Stats
156
Total
trades
123
Winning
trades
79%
Winning
history
81%
Average
return
Analysis
Our analysis shows October as an under performing month for our strategy. Data point to a slightly lower than average winning history and an average return 30 points above our target profit range. Our model of the risk v. reward also shows the month below the average for the strategy as a whole. A review of the trade history is mostly positive, but the month performed terribly in 2018. The mixed performance is further confirmed by the lack of consistent (100% winners) in the historically successful picks.
Target Profit Recommendation
Trade this month conservatively. Focus on exits on the lower end of our target range of 30% - 40% as soon as they are presented.
Risk vs Reward
Monthly Option trades in past years have absolutely under performed the strategy as a whole.
Successful Picks
Only BCRM (no longer traded) has a perfect winning history.
Stock | Plays | Wins | Win HistWinning History | Avg %Average Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL | 12 | 11 | 92% | 87% |
AMZN | 11 | 6 | 55% | 25% |
BIDU | 5 | 3 | 60% | 50% |
BRCM | 6 | 6 | 100% | 93% |
DIA | 15 | 11 | 73% | 60% |
GOOG | 10 | 8 | 80% | 188% |
IBM | 11 | 8 | 73% | 72% |
QQQ | 16 | 13 | 81% | 74% |
SPY | 7 | 5 | 71% | 64% |
WYNN | 9 | 7 | 78% | 126% |
YHOO | 5 | 4 | 80% | 79% |