Monday 1/21 - Post Analysis
Early weakness in the market gave those that entered a half size position Friday and added the other half Monday did very well. The rally really started to catch hold Wednesday through Friday on China tariff talk and setting a date for the second N. Korea summit. January is known to be the weakest month for expiration week and up till Wednesday it proved to be just that. Brighter months are ahead.
Friday 1/11 - Pre-Trade Analysis
Our analysis of past performance for January yields a fairly bleak outlook. Historically, this has been one of the most difficult months for our monthly options strategy. Part of the issue with January is a lower overall number of trades, however, there is no escaping the reality that the month vastly under performs the monthly strategy as a whole. Even a cursory glance at the risk v. reward chart sums up the month in entirety.
Going into the trades this month, we recommend exercising caution. Pay close attention to the commentary when it is published this afternoon and take any returns as soon as they are presented. We will update this post after the trade week to recap the performance.
Key Stats
127
Total
trades
93
Winning
trades
73%
Winning
history
59%
Average
return
Risk vs Reward
Successful Picks
Keep in mind we may no longer trade options for some of the stocks listed here.
Stock | Plays | Wins | Winning History | Average Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL | 6 | 6 | 100.00% | 111% |
AMZN | 9 | 6 | 66.67% | 70% |
BIDU | 6 | 5 | 83.33% | 86% |
BRCM | 6 | 4 | 66.67% | 89% |
DIA | 14 | 10 | 71.43% | 49% |
IBM | 8 | 6 | 75.00% | 66% |
QQQ | 11 | 8 | 72.73% | 34% |
WYNN | 6 | 6 | 100.00% | 162% |
YHOO | 5 | 3 | 60.00% | 17% |
Remember, no matter how great the statistics are or how good past trades were, you must set realistic limit orders to trade this strategy profitably. We highly recommend member's focus on our own target profit goals! As always, make money and happy trading!