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M DECEMBER ALERTS
Consistent Profitable Options
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February significantly improves all statistics for the Core Strategy. Coming off the lows from the previous month, we see a healthy rebound for both the winning history and average return. Of particular interest is the winning history which lands right in line with overall statistics for the strategy and provides a much welcomed reprieve for those options traders who are more risk averse. Additionally, while significantly higher than January, the average return remains a bit below the mean compared to the same statistic for other months.
Turning our attention to our first table (below), it is clear we should focus on the low end to midpoint of our target profit. Returns up to 40% fall within a reasonable winning history while seeking gains greater than that figure may prove problematic.
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| Return | Winning History |
|---|---|
| 10% | 84% |
| 20% | 74% |
| 30% | 66% |
| 40% | 59% |
| 50% | 55% |
| 75% | 41% |
| 100% | 33% |
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Several stocks stand out as good choices for February with some phenomenal winning histories. Do keep the low average return in mind for AMZN, GOOG, and YHOO.
| Stock | Plays | Wins | Winning History | Average Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 7 | 6 | 85.71% | 74% |
| AMZN | 7 | 6 | 85.71% | 55% |
| BRCM | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 91% |
| DIA | 12 | 11 | 91.67% | 85% |
| EBAY | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 139% |
| GOOG | 6 | 5 | 83.33% | 38% |
| IBM | 9 | 7 | 77.78% | 69% |
| QQQ | 11 | 10 | 90.91% | 71% |
| YHOO | 5 | 5 | 100.00% | 42% |
Remember, no matter how great the statistics are or how good past trades were, you must set realistic limit orders to trade this strategy profitably. We highly recommend member's focus on our own target profit goals! As always, make money and happy trading!
78%
81%
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