March 2014 Core Strategy Pre-trade Analysis

Friday March 14th 8:00 AM Posted in: Daily Blog

Once a month, Options-Intelligence uses its vast options trading history to generate key statistics to aid our Core Options Trading Strategy members. These statistics are designed to arm option trades with invaluable information and insight into the the trends and expectations for the upcoming option trading cycle.

Historical Option Performance for March

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Historical performance for March is a bit mixed. Our winning history is basically every 3 out of 4 plays. Good months seem to produce fantastic results and bad months are terrible. This is evidenced by the lower than normal winning history and the fantastic average return.

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  • 105 Total trades
  • 79 Winning trades
  • 75.24% Winning history
  • 91.16% Average return

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March lifetime winning history at common returns

[do action="cs-winning-history-month" month="03"/]

Historically successful March option picks

Stock # of Trades Winning History Average Return
AAPL 7 100% 108%
DIA 13 70% 92%
IBM 9 89% 108%
SPY 6 83% 73%

Statistical Expectations for March

We expect this March to be a bit of a rocky road for the Core Strategy based on the historical performance. We have only a handful of options to recommend from the trade history (listed above). APPL, really seems to be the star of the show, and it should remain a good pick in March. Not listed, QQQ has pretty abysmal performance in March, which we find quite surprising based on its typical performance. Pay close attention to the commentary for this month! As always, make money and happy trading!

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