October 2013 Core Strategy Pre-trade Analysis

Thursday October 10th 11:17 PM Posted in: Daily Blog

Once a month, Options-Intelligence uses its vast options trading history to generate key statistics for our Core Options Trading Strategy members. These statistics are designed to arm option trades with invaluable information and insight into the the trends and expectations for the upcoming option trading cycle.

Historical Option Performance for October

October is a solid month for options traders using the Core Strategy. With over 100 option trades for analysis, this month has a good amount of data to clue us in on what we might expect.

October lifetime winning history at common returns

Return Winning History
10% 75%
20% 74%
30% 69%
40% 63%
50% 54%
75% 42%
100% 31%

Historically successful October option picks

Stock # of Trades Winning History Average Return
AAPL 6 100% 119%
DIA 10 80% 84%
EBAY 6 67% 44%
GOOG 4 100% 221%
GS 1 100% 44%
IBM 8 88% 101%
QQQ 10 90% 80%
WYNN 5 80% 140%

Statistical Expectations for October

October is a pretty solid month for options trading with the Core Strategy. Notice the winning history holds pretty steadfast up until 40% returns, pair that with some phenomenal producers on the individual stock level and things are looking good. AAPL, GOOG, GS, and QQQ are often homeruns in October, providing excellent average returns and near perfect winning histories to boot. Be a little leary of GS (if Dave puts out a play for it), as we only have one data point for that option for this month. As always, make money and happy trading!


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